Cooperative Rate-Constrained Dec-POMDP (C β€ 1 bit/turn) β’ Landau-Ginzburg Narrative Thermodynamics β’ 13-Hearing 3-Tier Benchmark β’ Live Node `ted` QLoRA SFT Distillation
| Arm ID | Strategy & Epistemic Engine | Allocation | Channel / Gate | Realized Alpha | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM1_ORIGAE | Original Attention Economics Lead-Lag Dislocation Engine | $250,000 | 6-State TASKβ’ Gate | +24.94 bps | ACTIVE |
| ARM2_RELGRAPH | HomeTree ATFH Relational Hypergraph & Sector Beta Propagation | $250,000 | Neo4j 123-Path SoR | +31.20 bps | ACTIVE |
| ARM3_QREPIN | Quantal Response Equilibrium (QRE) & Probability of Informed Narrative (PIN) | $250,000 | NYU V-Lab Controls | +28.65 bps | ACTIVE |
| ARM4_GODYAD1B | Shifting-Board Go Dyad 1-Bit Cooperative Dec-POMDP + Nemotron Council | $250,000 | 1-Bit Shield (C β€ 1b) | +36.44 bps | 1-BIT SHIELD |
| From State R_i \ To R_j | NORMAL_DISPERSION | ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH | SYSTEMIC_RISK_OFF |
|---|
| Cohort | Claims | Mean Β± Std | P05 | P25 | P50 | P75 | P95 | Type B Vetoes |
|---|
| Tick | Time (s) | Speaker & Closed-Caption Claim | Best Analog (Sim / CF) | H_conf | C(c) | Nf | E_raw | E_norm | E_risk | IntE (J) | tΒ½ (s) | Council Verdict / Veto | Linked Merkle Root |
|---|
| Hearing Key | Cohort | Actual Regime | Predicted Regime | Peak E_norm | IntE (J) | Interlock | Vetoes (A/B/C) | Match |
|---|
| Regime Class | Support | TP | FP | FN | Precision | Recall | F1 Score |
|---|