{
  "title": "Nemotron-3-Nano-4B 4-Agent Cognitive Council v2.4 (13-Hearing 3-Tier Dec-POMDP & Semantic Ontology Edition)",
  "version": "2.4.0-DEC-POMDP-SEMANTIC-ONTOLOGY-3TIER",
  "model": "nvidia/nemotron-3-nano-4b",
  "executed_at": "2026-10-23T02:39:22.337271+00:00",
  "corpus_validation_summary": {
    "baseline_frozen_branch": "v2.2.0-EMPIRICAL-REGIME-GRAPH",
    "validation_edition": "v2.4.0-DEC-POMDP-SEMANTIC-ONTOLOGY-3TIER",
    "formal_dec_pomdp_specification": {
      "channel_capacity_constraint": "C <= 1 bit/turn (o_t in {0: NO-GO/HOLD, 1: GO/INTERLOCK})",
      "bayesian_belief_filter": "b_{t+1}(s') proportional to pi_C(o_t | s', a_t) * sum_s P(s' | s, a_t) b_t(s)",
      "dual_control_objective": "max E[ sum gamma^t ( R(s_t, a_t) + lambda * [H(b_t) - H(b_{t+1})] ) ]"
    },
    "locked_parameters": {
      "gamma_damping": 0.08,
      "beta_nonlinear": 0.04,
      "E_enter": 1.2,
      "E_exit": 0.6,
      "min_novelty_nf": 0.45,
      "retuned_between_streams": false
    },
    "total_hearings_evaluated": 13,
    "crisis_hearings_count": 5,
    "tier_b_ambiguous_stress_count": 3,
    "control_hearings_count": 5,
    "exact_regime_matches": 13,
    "overall_regime_classification_accuracy": 1.0,
    "macro_precision": 1.0,
    "macro_recall": 1.0,
    "macro_f1_score": 1.0,
    "crisis_sensitivity_recall": 1.0,
    "tier_b_watch_containment_accuracy": 1.0,
    "non_crisis_specificity": 1.0,
    "corpus_false_positive_rate": 0.0,
    "total_escalation_error_cost": 0,
    "escalation_cost_matrix_spec": {
      "NORMAL_DISPERSION": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 0,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 1,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 5
      },
      "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 2,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 2
      },
      "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 10,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 5,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 0
      }
    },
    "aggregate_skeptic_veto_counts": {
      "TYPE_A_CONFIDENCE_VETO": 38,
      "TYPE_B_NOVELTY_ECHO_VETO": 6,
      "TYPE_C_COUNTERFACTUAL_DOMINANCE_VETO": 28
    },
    "confusion_matrix": {
      "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": {
        "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": 1,
        "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": 0,
        "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": 0,
        "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": 0,
        "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": 0,
        "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": 0
      },
      "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": {
        "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": 0,
        "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": 1,
        "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": 0,
        "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": 0,
        "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": 0,
        "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": 0,
        "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": 0
      },
      "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": {
        "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": 0,
        "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": 1,
        "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": 0,
        "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": 0,
        "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": 0,
        "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": 0
      },
      "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": {
        "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": 0,
        "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": 0,
        "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": 1,
        "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": 0,
        "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": 0,
        "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": 0
      },
      "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": {
        "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": 0,
        "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": 0,
        "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": 0,
        "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": 1,
        "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": 0,
        "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": 0
      },
      "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": {
        "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": 0,
        "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": 0,
        "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": 0,
        "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": 0,
        "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": 3,
        "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": 0
      },
      "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": {
        "ACUTE_BANK_RUN": 0,
        "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": 0,
        "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": 0,
        "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": 0,
        "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": 0,
        "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": 5
      }
    },
    "per_class_precision_recall_f1": {
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        "FN": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recall": 1.0,
        "f1_score": 1.0
      },
      "FAST_LIQUIDITY_SHOCK": {
        "support": 1,
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        "FP": 0,
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        "recall": 1.0,
        "f1_score": 1.0
      },
      "SYSTEMIC_CREDIT_FREEZE": {
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        "FP": 0,
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        "precision": 1.0,
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        "f1_score": 1.0
      },
      "SOVEREIGN_LEVERAGE_CONTAGION": {
        "support": 1,
        "TP": 1,
        "FP": 0,
        "FN": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recall": 1.0,
        "f1_score": 1.0
      },
      "MONETARY_TIGHTENING_SHOCK": {
        "support": 1,
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      },
      "CONTAINED_MARKET_STRESS": {
        "support": 3,
        "TP": 3,
        "FP": 0,
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        "precision": 1.0,
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      "NON_CRISIS_OVERSIGHT": {
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        "FP": 0,
        "FN": 0,
        "precision": 1.0,
        "recall": 1.0,
        "f1_score": 1.0
      }
    },
    "markov_transition_counts_all_streams": {
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        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 17,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 6,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 0
      },
      "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 4,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 5,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 5
      },
      "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 0,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 17
      }
    },
    "markov_transition_probabilities_all_streams": {
      "NORMAL_DISPERSION": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 0.7391,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0.2609,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 0.0
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      "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": {
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        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0.3571,
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      "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": {
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        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0.0,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 1.0
      }
    },
    "energy_conditioned_transition_probabilities": {
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        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 0.7619,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0.2381,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 0.0
      },
      "BIN_1_MOD_0.5_1.0": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 0.3846,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0.4615,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 0.1538
      },
      "BIN_2_HIGH_1.0_1.5": {
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        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0.0,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 1.0
      },
      "BIN_3_EXTREME_1.5_PLUS": {
        "NORMAL_DISPERSION": 0.0,
        "ELEVATED_STRESS_WATCH": 0.0,
        "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF": 1.0
      }
    },
    "raw_novelty_score_distribution": {
      "all_claims": {
        "count": 67,
        "min_Nf": 0.0556,
        "max_Nf": 1.0,
        "mean_Nf": 0.7841,
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      "crisis_cohort": {
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        "VOLCKER_INFLATION_TESTIMONY_1981": {
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    }
  },
  "regime_prediction_accuracy_matrix": [
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      "expected_macro_state": "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF",
      "achieved_macro_state": "SYSTEMIC_LIQUIDITY_RISK_OFF",
      "escalation_error_cost": 0,
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      "actual_regime": "ACUTE_BANK_RUN",
      "match_score": 1.0,
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      "cumulative_epistemic_info_gain_bits": 1.9254,
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    },
    {
      "hearing": "COVID_EMERGENCY_FOMC_2020",
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